Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 7.551574 8.384189 9.315666 10.444144 11.786838 13.349545 15.330340
2025-01-26 6.249979 7.336140 8.660244 10.429036 12.788389 15.919531 20.563571
2025-02-02 5.829306 7.125481 8.810463 11.241939 14.812440 20.149630 29.408373
2025-02-09 5.436821 6.848457 8.774924 11.729445 16.428766 24.235871 40.011257
2025-02-16 5.010436 6.450685 8.487981 11.760992 17.308179 27.380181 50.788026
2025-02-23 4.754530 6.250178 8.440551 12.125887 18.795250 32.135735 68.764336
2025-03-02 4.350939 5.789462 7.939623 11.659236 18.670035 33.603208 79.722127
2025-03-09 4.043933 5.442136 7.572466 11.356778 18.778455 35.625417 94.751686
2025-03-16 3.813107 5.188913 7.325319 11.223123 19.186740 38.537853 117.306112
2025-03-23 3.711089 5.123448 7.371764 11.622231 20.806945 45.417204 172.498820
2025-03-30 3.479164 4.835593 7.020149 11.220560 20.548451 46.815816 202.027578
2025-04-06 3.266773 4.565355 6.676809 10.793950 20.149116 47.646901 231.825205
2025-04-13 3.071933 4.326309 6.393598 10.506083 20.166995 50.443545 299.679371
2025-04-20 2.931979 4.170252 6.246848 10.487365 20.902516 56.600778 467.975105
2025-04-27 2.923337 4.228645 6.484223 11.306972 24.152506 76.646673 1623.161175
2025-05-04 2.867865 4.202519 6.563130 11.798686 26.715292 98.308866 12120.280503
2025-05-11 2.761784 4.080871 6.449344 11.830508 27.880433 114.600362 NaN
2025-05-18 2.701661 4.034791 6.475425 12.198617 30.359072 147.137847 NaN
2025-05-25 2.558744 3.832815 6.178165 11.727865 29.659762 151.412817 NaN
2025-06-01 2.443636 3.674709 5.957219 11.422790 29.513755 161.923218 NaN
2025-06-08 2.353983 3.557697 5.810224 11.287988 30.006024 182.077007 NaN
2025-06-15 2.321087 3.541552 5.866111 11.690538 32.893453 249.234858 NaN
2025-06-22 2.217798 3.390610 5.632596 11.285404 32.144329 256.531781 NaN